Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.341861 0.405744 0.477134 0.562664 0.662178 0.774137 0.909464
2025-01-12 0.242745 0.323659 0.423923 0.556608 0.726817 0.936985 1.215211
2025-01-19 0.189345 0.275364 0.390418 0.554143 0.779449 1.076641 1.495987
2025-01-26 0.161395 0.252106 0.381255 0.576155 0.859864 1.254186 1.839161
2025-02-02 0.151425 0.251201 0.400878 0.638035 0.999587 1.524009 2.334189
2025-02-09 0.134482 0.236099 0.396185 0.661592 1.083839 1.720709 2.741632
2025-02-16 0.114528 0.212389 0.373985 0.653741 1.117176 1.842383 3.045830
2025-02-23 0.095758 0.187270 0.345406 0.630766 1.122037 1.918052 3.282722
2025-03-02 0.079477 0.163683 0.315739 0.601302 1.111356 1.965628 3.475977
2025-03-09 0.072947 0.157107 0.314945 0.621664 1.186926 2.160554 3.927153
2025-03-16 0.062033 0.140118 0.292559 0.599650 1.184473 2.221653 4.154944
2025-03-23 0.056598 0.133352 0.288592 0.611359 1.243888 2.394498 4.589785
2025-03-30 0.051228 0.126177 0.283493 0.621518 1.303909 2.578147 5.068255
2025-04-06 0.044971 0.116007 0.270948 0.615359 1.332130 2.706818 5.459471
2025-04-13 0.039884 0.107585 0.260818 0.612676 1.366485 2.849304 5.887591
2025-04-20 0.037428 0.105048 0.263183 0.636826 1.457892 3.109095 6.560741
2025-04-27 0.038115 0.110497 0.284331 0.704682 1.647493 3.577496 7.677112
2025-05-04 0.035918 0.108090 0.286791 0.730501 1.749199 3.877024 8.479628
2025-05-11 0.031956 0.100223 0.275039 0.721896 1.774305 4.021324 8.978437
2025-05-18 0.027638 0.090520 0.257307 0.696713 1.759235 4.079766 9.303727
2025-05-25 0.023567 0.080694 0.237751 0.664408 1.723981 4.091391 9.530245
2025-06-01 0.022326 0.079152 0.239805 0.686735 1.819750 4.396018 10.407678
2025-06-08 0.019379 0.071678 0.224641 0.662595 1.800751 4.443759 10.727352